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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป Fortaleza EC x Botafogo Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie A
Thursday, 23 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie A
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
PREDICTION Fortaleza EC wins Probability 24% 1 X 2
Botafogo Botafogo
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza EC x Botafogo Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza EC x Botafogo, Thursday, 23/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 23/11/2023
22:00
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
2.20
X
3.25
Botafogo Botafogo
3.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fortaleza EC x Botafogo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fortaleza EC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza EC, you can win up to $1100.00!

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Important information for your tip for Fortaleza EC x Botafogo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza EC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-174.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $182.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Fortaleza EC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fortaleza EC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Botafogo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Fortaleza EC x Botafogo

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fortaleza EC x Botafogo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Fortaleza EC x Botafogo:

Analysis from Fortaleza EC x Botafogo for the Brazil Serie A – 23 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Fortaleza EC X Botafogo – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 23 of November, 2023 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Fortaleza EC – Winning probability: 62.80% | Fair line: 1.59
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.78% | Fair line: 7.82
๐Ÿ”ด Botafogo – Winning probability: 24.42% | Fair line: 4.09
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza EC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Fortaleza EC x Botafogo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza EC x Botafogo

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortaleza EC?

๐Ÿ”ต Fortaleza EC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $756.00;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$386.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $292.50;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$577.50.

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Botafogo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $516.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$244.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza EC x Botafogo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza EC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza EC x Botafogo

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Fortaleza EC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Fortaleza EC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Fortaleza EC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza EC x Botafogo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves