Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo Betting tips for July 27 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo, Saturday, 27/7/2024

📅 27/7/2024 21:30

Fortaleza EC 2.30

X 3.15

Sao Paulo 3.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo:

🔮 Fortaleza EC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza EC, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza EC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $477.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Fortaleza EC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo, with Fortaleza EC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Fortaleza EC is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Fortaleza EC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sao Paulo playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo:

Analysis from Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Serie A – 27 of July

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1151548 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo

Is betting on Fortaleza EC worth it?

🔵 Fortaleza EC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $676.00;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$196.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $645.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sao Paulo?

🔴 Sao Paulo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $374.40;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$445.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza EC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Fortaleza EC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Fortaleza EC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza EC x Sao Paulo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.