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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Fortaleza x Flamengo Betting tips for November 26 in Brazil Serie A
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 23h00 Brazil Serie A
Fortaleza Fortaleza
PREDICTION Flamengo Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Flamengo Flamengo
ODD: @2.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza x Flamengo Betting tips for November 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Flamengo, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
23:00
Fortaleza Fortaleza
2.62
X
3.20
Flamengo Flamengo
2.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza x Flamengo:

🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $1310.00!

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $1325.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Fortaleza x Flamengo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $340.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Fortaleza conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Flamengo.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fortaleza x Flamengo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fortaleza x Flamengo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fortaleza x Flamengo for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of November

🏟️ Fortaleza X Flamengo – Brazil Serie A
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Fortaleza – Winning probability: 33.30% | Fair line: 3.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.04% | Fair line: 5.87
🔴 Flamengo – Winning probability: 49.65% | Fair line: 2.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fortaleza and Flamengo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228745 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Flamengo

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortaleza?

🔵 Fortaleza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $534.60
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$135.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $374.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Should you bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $825.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$325.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Flamengo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Fortaleza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Fortaleza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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