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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Fortaleza x Flamengo Betting tips for November 26 in Brazil Serie A
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 23h00 Brazil Serie A
Fortaleza Fortaleza
PREDICTION Flamengo Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Flamengo Flamengo
ODD: @2.66 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza x Flamengo Betting tips for November 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Flamengo, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
23:00
Fortaleza Fortaleza
2.62
X
3.20
Flamengo Flamengo
2.66

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza x Flamengo:

🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $1310.00!

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $1330.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Fortaleza x Flamengo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $340.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Fortaleza conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Flamengo.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Fortaleza x Flamengo for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of November

🏟️ Fortaleza X Flamengo – Brazil Serie A
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Fortaleza – Winning probability: 42.02% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.43% | Fair line: 6.09
🔴 Flamengo – Winning probability: 41.56% | Fair line: 2.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fortaleza and Flamengo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226828 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Flamengo

Is it worth betting on Fortaleza?

🔵 Fortaleza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $680.40;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $352.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$488.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $697.20;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$117.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Flamengo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Fortaleza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Fortaleza.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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