Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for November 9 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 9/11/2024 22:00 |
 Fortaleza1.83 |
X 3.48 |
Vasco da Gama  4.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama:
🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $915.00!
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Important information for your tip for Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $95.0. |
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Analysis from Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 9 of November
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🏟️ Fortaleza X Vasco da Gama – Brazil Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fortaleza and Vasco da Gama.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218775 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama
Is betting on Fortaleza worth it?
🔵 Fortaleza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $597.60;
- And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$317.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $421.60
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$408.40.
Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?
🔴 Vasco da Gama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $341.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$549.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Fortaleza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Fortaleza.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Vasco da Gama
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
