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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Gremio x Atletico GO Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 19h30 Brazil Serie A
Gremio Gremio
PREDICTION Gremio wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Atletico GO Atletico GO
ODD: @1.59 Don't miss this prediction!

Gremio x Atletico GO Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Gremio x Atletico GO, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
19:30
Gremio Gremio
1.59
X
3.75
Atletico GO Atletico GO
5.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gremio x Atletico GO:

🔮 Gremio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio, you can win up to $795.00!

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Important information for your tip for Gremio x Atletico GO:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico GO in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Gremio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Gremio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico GO conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Atletico GO.
👉 It is not a good time for Atletico GO as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gremio x Atletico GO for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of October

🏟️ Gremio X Atletico GO – Brazil Serie A
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Gremio – Winning probability: 81.02% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.60% | Fair line: 8.62
🔴 Atletico GO – Winning probability: 7.38% | Fair line: 13.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gremio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gremio x Atletico GO is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209027 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gremio x Atletico GO

Is betting on Gremio worth it?

🔵 Gremio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $477.90
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$287.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico GO?

🔴 Atletico GO: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $315.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$615.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio x Atletico GO

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gremio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio x Atletico GO

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Gremio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Gremio.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio x Atletico GO

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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