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Home Β» Predictions Β» Brazil Serie A Β» Gremio x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for March 29 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 21h30 Brazil Serie A
Gremio Gremio
PREDICTION No tip
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
Don't miss this prediction!

Gremio x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for March 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Gremio x Atletico Mineiro, Saturday, 29/3/2025
πŸ“… 29/3/2025
21:30
Gremio Gremio
2.20
X
3.25
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
3.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gremio x Atletico Mineiro:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Gremio x Atletico Mineiro

Some important points for the tip for Gremio x Atletico Mineiro:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-88.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $251.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Mineiro, Gremio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 Atletico Mineiro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gremio x Atletico Mineiro?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gremio x Atletico Mineiro:

Analysis from Gremio x Atletico Mineiro for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of March

🏟️ Gremio X Atletico Mineiro – Brazil Serie A
πŸ“… 29 of March, 2025 – 21:30
πŸ”΅ Gremio – Winning probability: 40.15% | Fair line: 2.49
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.56% | Fair line: 3.63
πŸ”΄ Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 32.29% | Fair line: 3.1
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Gremio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Gremio x Atletico Mineiro

Should you bet on Gremio?

πŸ”΅ Gremio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$120.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$90.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Mineiro?

πŸ”΄ Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$40.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio x Atletico Mineiro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Gremio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Gremio x Atletico Mineiro

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Gremio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Gremio.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1Γ—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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