Gremio x Flamengo Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Gremio x Flamengo, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 20:30

Gremio 3.05

X 3.22

Flamengo 2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gremio x Flamengo:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $1150.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Gremio x Flamengo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $157.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $182.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Gremio conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Flamengo. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gremio x Flamengo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gremio x Flamengo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Gremio x Flamengo for the Brazil Serie A – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gremio and Flamengo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302894 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gremio x Flamengo

Should you bet on Gremio?

🔵 Gremio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $389.50;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$420.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $510.60;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$259.40.

Should you bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $754.00
• And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$334.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio x Flamengo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gremio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Gremio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Gremio.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.