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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Internacional x Criciuma Betting tips for November 6 in Brazil Serie A
Wednesday, 06 November 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie A
Internacional Internacional
PREDICTION Internacional wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Criciuma Criciuma
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Internacional x Criciuma Betting tips for November 6 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Internacional x Criciuma, Wednesday, 6/11/2024
📅 6/11/2024
00:30
Internacional Internacional
1.40
X
4.43
Criciuma Criciuma
7.28

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Internacional x Criciuma:

🔮 Internacional wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Internacional, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Internacional x Criciuma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Internacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Internacional scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Criciuma conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Internacional x Criciuma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Internacional x Criciuma:

Analysis from Internacional x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 6 of November

🏟️ Internacional X Criciuma – Brazil Serie A
📅 6 of November, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Internacional – Winning probability: 92.22% | Fair line: 1.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.83% | Fair line: 17.15
🔴 Criciuma – Winning probability: 1.95% | Fair line: 51.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Internacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Internacional x Criciuma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1217445 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Internacional x Criciuma

Is it a good idea to bet on Internacional?

🔵 Internacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $368.00
  • And would lose other 80 times – having a loss of -$80.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$288.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $205.80;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$734.20.

Should you bet on Criciuma?

🔴 Criciuma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $125.60
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$854.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Internacional x Criciuma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Internacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Internacional x Criciuma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Internacional, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Internacional.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Internacional.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Internacional x Criciuma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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