Palmeiras x Fortaleza Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Palmeiras x Fortaleza, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 19:30

Palmeiras 1.48

X 4.06

Fortaleza 6.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Palmeiras x Fortaleza:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $740.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Palmeiras x Fortaleza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $101.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fortaleza, Palmeiras scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Palmeiras matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Palmeiras x Fortaleza, with Palmeiras as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Fortaleza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Palmeiras is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Palmeiras has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Fortaleza.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Palmeiras x Fortaleza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palmeiras x Fortaleza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Palmeiras x Fortaleza for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of October

When the best bet on Palmeiras x Fortaleza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209027 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Palmeiras x Fortaleza

Is it a good idea to bet on Palmeiras?

🔵 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 870 times – profiting $417.60;
• And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$287.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $306.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$594.00.

Should you bet on Fortaleza?

🔴 Fortaleza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $220.00;
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$740.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Fortaleza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Fortaleza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Palmeiras, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Palmeiras.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Palmeiras.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Fortaleza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.