Palmeiras x Gremio Betting tips for November 9 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Palmeiras x Gremio, Saturday, 9/11/2024

📅 9/11/2024 00:30

Palmeiras 1.50

X 4.06

Gremio 6.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Palmeiras x Gremio:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Palmeiras x Gremio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-74.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Gremio, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Palmeiras matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Palmeiras has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Gremio playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Palmeiras x Gremio?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Palmeiras x Gremio for the Brazil Serie A – 9 of November

When the best bet on Palmeiras x Gremio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218333 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Palmeiras x Gremio

Should you bet on Palmeiras?

🔵 Palmeiras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $410.00;
• And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$230.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $428.40
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$431.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gremio?

🔴 Gremio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $204.00
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$756.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Gremio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Gremio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Palmeiras, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Palmeiras.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Palmeiras.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Gremio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.