Palmeiras x Vitoria Betting tips for July 27 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Palmeiras x Vitoria, Saturday, 27/7/2024

📅 27/7/2024 19:00

Palmeiras 1.31

X 5.00

Vitoria 9.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Palmeiras x Vitoria:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $655.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Palmeiras x Vitoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $269.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Palmeiras scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Vitoria, Palmeiras scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Palmeiras x Vitoria, with Palmeiras as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Vitoria conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Palmeiras conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Vitoria. 👉 Palmeiras is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Palmeiras has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Vitoria. 👉 It is not a good time for Vitoria as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Palmeiras x Vitoria?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palmeiras x Vitoria, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Palmeiras x Vitoria for the Brazil Serie A – 27 of July

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Palmeiras x Vitoria right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1151548 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Palmeiras x Vitoria

Is it worth betting on Palmeiras?

🔵 Palmeiras: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $257.30
• And would lose other 170 times – having a loss of -$170.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$87.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Should you bet on Vitoria?

🔴 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $400.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Vitoria

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Vitoria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Palmeiras and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Palmeiras.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Vitoria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Vitoria

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.