Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro, Sunday, 24/11/2024

📅 24/11/2024 00:30

Sao Paulo 1.76

X 3.40

Atletico Mineiro 4.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro:

🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $880.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $78.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Atletico Mineiro did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sao Paulo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Mineiro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Sao Paulo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Sao Paulo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Atletico Mineiro. 👉 Sao Paulo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro for the Brazil Serie A – 24 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sao Paulo and Atletico Mineiro.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro

Should you bet on Sao Paulo?

🔵 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $471.20;
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$91.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Mineiro?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $612.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Sao Paulo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sao Paulo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Sao Paulo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.