Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 20:30

Sao Paulo 2.00

X 3.18

Cruzeiro 3.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro:

🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $1000.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-340.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cruzeiro, Sao Paulo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro, with Sao Paulo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sao Paulo is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 6 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 Sao Paulo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cruzeiro playing at home.

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Analysis from Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro for the Brazil Serie A – 13 of April

When the best bet on Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302894 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro

Is it a good idea to bet on Sao Paulo?

🔵 Sao Paulo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $620.00;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$240.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $479.60
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$300.40.

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

🔴 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $473.60;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$366.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Sao Paulo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sao Paulo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Sao Paulo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Cruzeiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.