Sao Paulo x Sport Recife Betting tips for March 29 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 29/3/2025 21:30 |
 Sao Paulo1.52 |
X 3.89 |
Sport Recife  6.10 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sao Paulo x Sport Recife:
🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $760.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sao Paulo x Sport Recife: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-173.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sao Paulo x Sport Recife?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sao Paulo x Sport Recife, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Sao Paulo x Sport Recife for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of March
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🏟️ Sao Paulo X Sport Recife – Brazil Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sao Paulo x Sport Recife right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Sport Recife
Is it worth betting on Sao Paulo?
🔵 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 760 times – profiting $395.20;
- And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $404.60;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$455.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sport Recife?
🔴 Sport Recife: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $561.00
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$329.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Sport Recife
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Sport Recife
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Sao Paulo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Sao Paulo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Sport Recife.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Sport Recife
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
