Sport Recife x Palmeiras Betting tips for April 6 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Sport Recife x Palmeiras, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 21:30

Sport Recife 5.00

X 3.50

Palmeiras 1.71

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sport Recife x Palmeiras:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $855.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sport Recife x Palmeiras: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $98.0. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Sport Recife x Palmeiras, with Sport Recife as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Sport Recife conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Palmeiras. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Palmeiras has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Palmeiras won the last 5 head-to-head matches Sport Recife´s territory

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Analysis from Sport Recife x Palmeiras for the Brazil Serie A – 6 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sport Recife and Palmeiras.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1297032 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Palmeiras

Is it a good idea to bet on Sport Recife?

🔵 Sport Recife: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $1040.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$300.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$405.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Palmeiras?

🔴 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $404.70
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$25.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Recife x Palmeiras

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Sport Recife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Palmeiras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Sport Recife and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Sport Recife. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Recife x Palmeiras

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.