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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO Betting tips for December 1 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
PREDICTION Vasco da Gama wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Atletico GO Atletico GO
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO Betting tips for December 1 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
00:30
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
1.56
X
3.80
Atletico GO Atletico GO
5.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO:

🔮 Vasco da Gama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vasco da Gama, you can win up to $780.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-42.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico GO in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico GO, Vasco da Gama scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico GO conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Atletico GO as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO for the Brazil Serie A – 1 of December

🏟️ Vasco da Gama X Atletico GO – Brazil Serie A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 78.02% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.03% | Fair line: 6.65
🔴 Atletico GO – Winning probability: 6.95% | Fair line: 14.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO

Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?

🔵 Vasco da Gama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – profiting $436.80;
  • And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$216.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico GO?

🔴 Atletico GO: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $329.00
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$601.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Vasco da Gama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Vasco da Gama.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Atletico GO

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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