Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude Betting tips for October 5 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 5/10/2024 21:00 |
 Vasco da Gama1.67 |
X 3.65 |
EC Juventude  5.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude
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The main points for the tip for Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $415.0. |
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Analysis from Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude for the Brazil Serie A – 5 of October
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🏟️ Vasco da Gama X EC Juventude – Brazil Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude
Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?
🔵 Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $388.60
- And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$31.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $689.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$51.00.
Should you bet on EC Juventude?
🔴 EC Juventude: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $680.00;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Vasco da Gama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Vasco da Gama.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 EC Juventude.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x EC Juventude
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
