Vasco da Gama x Santos Betting tips for March 30 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 30/3/2025 21:30 |
 Vasco da Gama2.35 |
X 3.15 |
Santos  3.10 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vasco da Gama x Santos:
🔮 Santos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos, you can win up to $1550.00!
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The main points for the tip for Vasco da Gama x Santos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-167.0. |
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Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Santos for the Brazil Serie A – 30 of March
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🏟️ Vasco da Gama X Santos – Brazil Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vasco da Gama x Santos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291828 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Vasco da Gama x Santos
Is it a good idea to bet on Vasco da Gama?
🔵 Vasco da Gama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$107.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $559.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$181.00.
Is it worth betting on Santos?
🔴 Santos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $756.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$116.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Santos
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Santos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Vasco da Gama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Vasco da Gama.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Santos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Santos
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
