Vitoria x EC Juventude Betting tips for September 21 in Brazil Serie A
📅 21/9/2024 16:00 |
Vitoria 2.00 |
X 3.30 |
EC Juventude 3.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vitoria x EC Juventude:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Vitoria x EC Juventude
The main points for the tip for Vitoria x EC Juventude: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vitoria x EC Juventude?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vitoria x EC Juventude, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Vitoria x EC Juventude for the Brazil Serie A – 21 of September
🏟️ Vitoria X EC Juventude – Brazil Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vitoria x EC Juventude right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184423 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Vitoria x EC Juventude
Is betting on Vitoria worth it?
🔵 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $490.00
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $690.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.
Should you bet on EC Juventude?
🔴 EC Juventude: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x EC Juventude
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x EC Juventude
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Vitoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Vitoria.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x EC Juventude
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.