Vitoria x Flamengo Betting tips for April 6 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Flamengo, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 21:30

Vitoria 4.40

X 3.40

Flamengo 1.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vitoria x Flamengo:

🔮 Vitoria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vitoria, you can win up to $2200.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Vitoria x Flamengo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-122.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $132.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Flamengo, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Vitoria matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Vitoria x Flamengo, with Vitoria as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Vitoria conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Flamengo. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Vitoria x Flamengo for the Brazil Serie A – 6 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vitoria x Flamengo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1297032 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vitoria x Flamengo

Is betting on Vitoria worth it?

🔵 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $952.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$232.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Should you bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $440.00;
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Flamengo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Vitoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Vitoria.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.