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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Vitoria x Fluminense Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 19h30 Brazil Serie A
Vitoria Vitoria
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Fluminense Fluminense
ODD: @3.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Vitoria x Fluminense Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Fluminense, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
19:30
Vitoria Vitoria
2.38
X
3.08
Fluminense Fluminense
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vitoria x Fluminense:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1540.00!

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The main points for the tip for Vitoria x Fluminense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 3 Vitoria matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Fluminense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Vitoria x Fluminense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Vitoria x Fluminense:

Analysis from Vitoria x Fluminense for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of October

🏟️ Vitoria X Fluminense – Brazil Serie A
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Vitoria – Winning probability: 36.70% | Fair line: 2.72
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.78% | Fair line: 2.45
🔴 Fluminense – Winning probability: 22.52% | Fair line: 4.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vitoria and Fluminense.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209027 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vitoria x Fluminense

Is betting on Vitoria worth it?

🔵 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $510.60;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$119.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $852.80
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$262.80.

Is it worth betting on Fluminense?

🔴 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$310.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Fluminense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Vitoria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Vitoria.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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