Vitoria x Fortaleza Betting tips for April 17 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Fortaleza, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 00:30

Vitoria 2.65

X 3.10

Fortaleza 2.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vitoria x Fortaleza:

🔮 Vitoria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vitoria, you can win up to $1325.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Vitoria x Fortaleza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Vitoria x Fortaleza, with Vitoria as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Vitoria conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fortaleza conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Vitoria x Fortaleza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vitoria x Fortaleza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Vitoria x Fortaleza for the Brazil Serie A – 17 of April

When the best bet on Vitoria x Fortaleza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305181 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vitoria x Fortaleza

Is it worth betting on Vitoria?

🔵 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $726.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$166.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$39.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Fortaleza worth it?

🔴 Fortaleza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $388.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$371.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Fortaleza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Fortaleza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Vitoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Vitoria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Vitoria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Fortaleza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.