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Home Β» Predictions Β» Brazil Serie A Β» Vitoria x Fortaleza Betting tips for December 1 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie A
Vitoria Vitoria
PREDICTION No tip
Fortaleza Fortaleza
Don't miss this prediction!

Vitoria x Fortaleza Betting tips for December 1 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Fortaleza, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
21:30
Vitoria Vitoria
2.45
X
3.10
Fortaleza Fortaleza
2.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vitoria x Fortaleza:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Vitoria x Fortaleza

Important information for your tip for Vitoria x Fortaleza:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Fortaleza matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Fortaleza has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vitoria x Fortaleza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vitoria x Fortaleza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Vitoria x Fortaleza for the Brazil Serie A – 1 of December

🏟️ Vitoria X Fortaleza – Brazil Serie A
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 21:30
πŸ”΅ Vitoria – Winning probability: 42.09% | Fair line: 2.38
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.16% | Fair line: 3.43
πŸ”΄ Fortaleza – Winning probability: 28.75% | Fair line: 3.48
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vitoria and Fortaleza.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230541 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vitoria x Fortaleza

Is betting on Vitoria worth it?

πŸ”΅ Vitoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $609.00;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$29.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortaleza?

πŸ”΄ Fortaleza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $533.60;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$176.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Fortaleza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Fortaleza

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Vitoria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Vitoria.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Vitoria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Fortaleza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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