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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Vitoria x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for September 1 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 18h30 Brazil Serie A
Vitoria Vitoria
PREDICTION Vitoria wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction!

Vitoria x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for September 1 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Vasco da Gama, Sunday, 1/9/2024
📅 1/9/2024
18:30
Vitoria Vitoria
2.26
X
3.26
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
3.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vitoria x Vasco da Gama:

🔮 Vitoria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vitoria, you can win up to $1130.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Vitoria x Vasco da Gama:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Vasco da Gama conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Vitoria x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 1 of September

🏟️ Vitoria X Vasco da Gama – Brazil Serie A
📅 1 of September, 2024 – 18:30
🔵 Vitoria – Winning probability: 44.86% | Fair line: 2.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.22% | Fair line: 3.81
🔴 Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 28.92% | Fair line: 3.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vitoria x Vasco da Gama is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1171696 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vitoria x Vasco da Gama

Is betting on Vitoria worth it?

🔵 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $567.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$17.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $587.60;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$152.40.

Is it worth betting on Vasco da Gama?

🔴 Vasco da Gama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $594.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$115.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Vasco da Gama

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Vasco da Gama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Vitoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Vitoria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Vasco da Gama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Vasco da Gama

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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