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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Augsburg Augsburg
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
ODD: @4.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen, Saturday, 14/12/2024
📅 14/12/2024
14:30
Augsburg Augsburg
5.20
X
4.20
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.58

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $2100.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $352.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
👉 Augsburg did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of December

🏟️ Augsburg X Bayer Leverkusen – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 14 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Augsburg – Winning probability: 14.20% | Fair line: 7.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.09% | Fair line: 3.32
🔴 Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 55.71% | Fair line: 1.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Augsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236358 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen

Is it a good idea to bet on Augsburg?

🔵 Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $960.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Is betting on Bayer Leverkusen worth it?

🔴 Bayer Leverkusen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $324.80;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$115.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Augsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Augsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Augsburg.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Augsburg x Bayer Leverkusen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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