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Home » Predictions » Augsburg x Bayern Munich Betting tips for April 4 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 04 April 2025, 18h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Augsburg Augsburg
PREDICTION Bayern Munich Wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Augsburg x Bayern Munich Betting tips for April 4 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Augsburg x Bayern Munich, Friday, 4/4/2025
📅 4/4/2025
18:30
Augsburg Augsburg
7.00
X
4.60
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
1.44

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Augsburg x Bayern Munich:

🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Augsburg x Bayern Munich:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $38.0.
👉 Augsburg did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Bayern Munich, Augsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Augsburg matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Bayern Munich has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Augsburg x Bayern Munich?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Augsburg x Bayern Munich:

Analysis from Augsburg x Bayern Munich for the Germany Bundesliga I – 4 of April

🏟️ Augsburg X Bayern Munich – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 4 of April, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Augsburg – Winning probability: 3.93% | Fair line: 25.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.19% | Fair line: 9.81
🔴 Bayern Munich – Winning probability: 85.87% | Fair line: 1.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Augsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Augsburg x Bayern Munich right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Augsburg x Bayern Munich

Is betting on Augsburg worth it?

🔵 Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$720.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$540.00.

Is it worth betting on Bayern Munich?

🔴 Bayern Munich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $378.40;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$238.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Augsburg x Bayern Munich

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Augsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Augsburg x Bayern Munich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Augsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Augsburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Bayern Munich.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Augsburg x Bayern Munich

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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