Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for October 26 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 13:30

Augsburg 3.65

X 3.98

Borussia Dortmund 1.86

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Augsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Augsburg, you can win up to $1825.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $271.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Augsburg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Borussia Dortmund matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Borussia Dortmund. 👉 It is not a good time for Borussia Dortmund as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

Analysis from Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 26 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208521 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Should you bet on Augsburg?

🔵 Augsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $821.50;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$131.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $625.80
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$164.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $412.80
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$107.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Augsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Augsburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Augsburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Augsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Augsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.