Augsburg x St Pauli Betting tips for September 15 in Germany Bundesliga I
π
15/9/2024 10:30 |
Augsburg 1.95 |
X 3.60 |
St Pauli 3.58 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Augsburg x St Pauli:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Augsburg x St Pauli
Important information for your tip for Augsburg x St Pauli: π If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-72.0. |
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Analysis from Augsburg x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of September
ποΈ Augsburg X St Pauli – Germany Bundesliga I |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Augsburg and St Pauli.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1180290 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Augsburg x St Pauli
Is it worth betting on Augsburg?
π΅ Augsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $408.50;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$161.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $728.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$8.00.
Should you bet on St Pauli?
π΄ St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $748.20;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$38.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Augsburg x St Pauli
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Augsburg
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Augsburg x St Pauli
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Augsburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Augsburg.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 St Pauli.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Augsburg x St Pauli
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.