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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum Betting tips for March 28 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 28 March 2025, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
PREDICTION Bayer Leverkusen wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Bochum Bochum
ODD: @1.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum Betting tips for March 28 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum, Friday, 28/3/2025
📅 28/3/2025
19:30
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.22
X
6.50
Bochum Bochum
11.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum:

🔮 Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayer Leverkusen, you can win up to $610.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1400.0.
👉 Bayer Leverkusen did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bochum scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bochum, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bayer Leverkusen matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Bochum has not lost any of them.
👉 Bayer Leverkusen has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Bochum.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 28 of March

🏟️ Bayer Leverkusen X Bochum – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 28 of March, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 95.80% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.02% | Fair line: 33.13
🔴 Bochum – Winning probability: 1.18% | Fair line: 84.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290211 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔵 Bayer Leverkusen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $211.20
  • And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$171.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $165.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$805.00.

Is betting on Bochum worth it?

🔴 Bochum: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $100.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$890.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Bayer Leverkusen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Bayer Leverkusen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Bochum.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x Bochum

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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