Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for October 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 5/10/2024 10:30 |
 Bayer Leverkusen1.09 |
X 10.75 |
Holstein Kiel  21.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel:
🔮 Holstein Kiel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Holstein Kiel, you can win up to $10500.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-213.0. |
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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of October
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🏟️ Bayer Leverkusen X Holstein Kiel – Germany Bundesliga I |
When the best bet on Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel
Is it worth betting on Bayer Leverkusen?
🔵 Bayer Leverkusen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 930 times – profiting $83.70;
- And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$13.70 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $195.00;
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$785.00.
Should you bet on Holstein Kiel?
🔴 Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 21.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $1000.00
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$50.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Bayer Leverkusen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Bayer Leverkusen.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.5 Holstein Kiel.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x Holstein Kiel
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.
