Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg Betting tips for December 21 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg, Saturday, 21/12/2024

📅 21/12/2024 17:30

Bayer Leverkusen 1.44

X 4.70

SC Freiburg 6.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg:

🔮 Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayer Leverkusen, you can win up to $720.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $87.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against SC Freiburg, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg, with Bayer Leverkusen as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, SC Freiburg conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against SC Freiburg. 👉 Bayer Leverkusen is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession. 👉 Bayer Leverkusen is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg?

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of December

When the best bet on Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238880 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg

Should you bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔵 Bayer Leverkusen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $382.80
• And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$252.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $259.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$671.00.

Is it worth betting on SC Freiburg?

🔴 SC Freiburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $275.00
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$675.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Bayer Leverkusen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Bayer Leverkusen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Bayer Leverkusen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.