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Home » Predictions » Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for November 1 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 01 November 2024, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart Wins Probability 31% 1 X 2
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
ODD: @5.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for November 1 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
19:30
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.53
X
4.75
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
5.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $2600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $43.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against VfB Stuttgart, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bayer Leverkusen matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart, with Bayer Leverkusen as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against VfB Stuttgart.
👉 Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against VfB Stuttgart playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart for the Germany Bundesliga I – 1 of November

🏟️ Bayer Leverkusen X VfB Stuttgart – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 59.31% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.35% | Fair line: 10.7
🔴 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 31.34% | Fair line: 3.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

Is betting on Bayer Leverkusen worth it?

🔵 Bayer Leverkusen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $312.70;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$97.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $337.50
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$572.50.

Is betting on VfB Stuttgart worth it?

🔴 VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $1302.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$612.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Bayer Leverkusen. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x VfB Stuttgart

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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