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Home » Predictions » Bayern Munich x Augsburg Betting tips for November 22 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 22 November 2024, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
PREDICTION Bayern Munich wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Augsburg Augsburg
ODD: @1.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayern Munich x Augsburg Betting tips for November 22 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayern Munich x Augsburg, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
19:30
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
1.10
X
10.00
Augsburg Augsburg
17.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bayern Munich x Augsburg:

🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $550.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bayern Munich x Augsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-386.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Augsburg, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 66.00% of possession.
👉 Bayern Munich has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Augsburg.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayern Munich x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 22 of November

🏟️ Bayern Munich X Augsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Bayern Munich – Winning probability: 99.66% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.27% | Fair line: 375.04
🔴 Augsburg – Winning probability: 0.07% | Fair line: 1409.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bayern Munich x Augsburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225205 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayern Munich x Augsburg

Should you bet on Bayern Munich?

🔵 Bayern Munich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $100.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Augsburg?

🔴 Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 17.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x Augsburg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x Augsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.25 Bayern Munich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Bayern Munich.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.5 Bayern Munich.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x Augsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 4.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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