Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for April 12 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 12/4/2025 16:30 |
 Bayern Munich1.40 |
X 5.00 |
Borussia Dortmund  6.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund:
🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $700.00!
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The main points for the tip for Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-94.0. |
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Analysis from Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 12 of April
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🏟️ Bayern Munich X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund
Is betting on Bayern Munich worth it?
🔵 Bayern Munich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $356.00
- And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$246.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$750.00.
Should you bet on Borussia Dortmund?
🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $330.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$610.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Bayern Munich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Bayern Munich.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Bayern Munich.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
