Bayern Munich x Mainz Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 14/12/2025 16:30 |
 Bayern Munich1.13 |
X 9.00 |
Mainz  16.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bayern Munich x Mainz:
🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $565.00!
The main points for the tip for Bayern Munich x Mainz:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $81.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mainz, Bayern Munich scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Bayern Munich matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich x Mainz, with Bayern Munich as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 Bayern Munich is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Bayern Munich has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Mainz.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Bayern Munich x Mainz?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bayern Munich x Mainz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Bayern Munich x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of December
🏟️ Bayern Munich X Mainz – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Bayern Munich – Winning probability: 97.95% | Fair line: 1.02
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.62% | Fair line: 162.4
🔴 Mainz – Winning probability: 1.43% | Fair line: 69.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bayern Munich x Mainz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452043 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Latest news about Bayern Munich x Mainz
Bayern Munich: Bayern Munich secured a 3-1 home victory over Sporting Lisbon on December 9, 2025, after which UEFA is considering a partial ban for fans, which CFO Jan-Christian Dreesen believes is unlikely to be imposed. Coach Vincent Kompany praised forward Lennart Karl for the decisive goal and overall performance; the next day, the team drew 2-2 with Newcastle in the Champions League, with goalkeeper Mark Flekken admitting his mistake that led to a penalty. On December 12, 2025, Bayern handed a crushing 5-0 defeat to VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga, highlighted by Harry Kanes hat-trick and additional goals from Luis Diaz and teammates, while former president Uli Hoeneß warned that ultras pose a threat to the club’s 50+1 ownership model.
Mainz 05: Mainz 05 is now managed by Urs Fischer, who succeeded Bo Henriksen and has already led the team to a 1-1 draw with Lech Poznan in the Conference League, despite playing part of the match with ten men. The club has nine points, in fifth place in the group, and needs three more points from the remaining two matches to qualify directly for the knockout stage. Several key players are unavailable – goalkeeper Robin Zentner, winger Philipp Mwene, and defender Anthony Caci are injured, and Amiri is sidelined with muscular issues – which has led to Bundesliga absentees Dominik Kohr and Paul Nebel being used in European matches, while young Fabio Moreno Fell was promoted from the U-23 team after his recent debut. Mainz’s schedule includes the return leg of the Conference League in Poznan, followed by a Bundesliga match against Bayern Munich, with a provisional team including Da Costa, Batz, and J-S Lee, among others.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayern Munich x Mainz
Is it worth betting on Bayern Munich?
🔵 Bayern Munich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $127.40
- And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$107.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $80.00
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$910.00.
Is it worth betting on Mainz?
🔴 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 16.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x Mainz
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x Mainz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.25 Bayern Munich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Bayern Munich.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.25 Bayern Munich.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x Mainz
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.
