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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 16h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
PREDICTION Bayern Munich wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart, Saturday, 19/10/2024
📅 19/10/2024
16:30
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
1.36
X
5.33
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
7.46

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart:

🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-46.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-133.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against VfB Stuttgart, Bayern Munich scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 VfB Stuttgart matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart, with Bayern Munich as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 67.00% of possession.
👉 Bayern Munich has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against VfB Stuttgart playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart for the Germany Bundesliga I – 19 of October

🏟️ Bayern Munich X VfB Stuttgart – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 19 of October, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Bayern Munich – Winning probability: 85.52% | Fair line: 1.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.36% | Fair line: 10.69
🔴 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 5.12% | Fair line: 19.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?

🔵 Bayern Munich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – profiting $309.60;
  • And would lose other 140 times – losing -$140.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$169.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $389.70;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$520.30.

Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔴 VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $323.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$627.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Bayern Munich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Bayern Munich.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x VfB Stuttgart

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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