Bochum x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for September 21 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bochum x Holstein Kiel, Saturday, 21/9/2024

📅 21/9/2024 10:30

Bochum 1.97

X 3.70

Holstein Kiel 3.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bochum x Holstein Kiel:

🔮 Bochum wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bochum, you can win up to $985.00!

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Important information for your tip for Bochum x Holstein Kiel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Holstein Kiel, Bochum scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bochum x Holstein Kiel, with Bochum as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Holstein Kiel.

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Analysis from Bochum x Holstein Kiel for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bochum x Holstein Kiel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184423 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bochum x Holstein Kiel

Is it worth betting on Bochum?

🔵 Bochum: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $543.20;
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$103.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$334.00.

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔴 Holstein Kiel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$112.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bochum x Holstein Kiel

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bochum
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bochum x Holstein Kiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bochum and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Bochum.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Holstein Kiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bochum x Holstein Kiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.