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Home ยป Predictions ยป Bundesliga 1 ยป Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Bundesliga I
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
PREDICTION Borussia Dortmund wins Probability 5% 1 X 2
Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
1.40
X
5.25
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
6.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Borussia Dortmund wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $700.00!

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Important information for your tip for Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $213.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Mgladbach, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Borussia Mgladbach matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach, with Borussia Dortmund as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Borussia Mgladbach conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Borussia Dortmund has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Borussia Mgladbach.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach:

Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach for the Germany Bundesliga I – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Borussia Dortmund X Borussia Mgladbach – Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 86.56% | Fair line: 1.16
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.35% | Fair line: 11.98
๐Ÿ”ด Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 5.09% | Fair line: 19.65
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Borussia Dortmund
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach

Is it worth betting on Borussia Dortmund?

๐Ÿ”ต Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $348.00
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$218.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $340.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$580.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

๐Ÿ”ด Borussia Mgladbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $262.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$687.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Borussia Dortmund
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Borussia Dortmund and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Borussia Dortmund.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Borussia Dortmund.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x Borussia Mgladbach

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves