Borussia Dortmund x Mainz Betting tips for March 30 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Dortmund x Mainz, Sunday, 30/3/2025

📅 30/3/2025 15:30

Borussia Dortmund 1.67

X 4.00

Mainz 4.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Borussia Dortmund x Mainz:

🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $835.00!

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The main points for the tip for Borussia Dortmund x Mainz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-358.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $385.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mainz scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Mainz, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Mainz. 👉 Mainz is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Borussia Dortmund has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Mainz playing at home.

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Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 30 of March

When the best bet on Borussia Dortmund x Mainz is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1291320 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Dortmund x Mainz

Is betting on Borussia Dortmund worth it?

🔵 Borussia Dortmund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 850 times – profiting $569.50;
• And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$419.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $300.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.

Is it worth betting on Mainz?

🔴 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $150.00;
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$810.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x Mainz

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x Mainz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Borussia Dortmund, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Borussia Dortmund. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x Mainz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.