Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli Betting tips for October 18 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli, Friday, 18/10/2024

📅 18/10/2024 18:30

Borussia Dortmund 1.29

X 5.72

St Pauli 9.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli:

🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $645.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $280.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $183.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, St Pauli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Borussia Dortmund matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 St Pauli matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Borussia Dortmund is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga I – 18 of October

When the best bet on Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli

Should you bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔵 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 840 times – profiting $243.60;
• And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$83.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $377.60;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$542.40.

Is it worth betting on St Pauli?

🔴 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $656.00;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Borussia Dortmund, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Borussia Dortmund.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 St Pauli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x St Pauli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.