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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for December 7 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 07 December 2024, 17h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
PREDICTION Borussia Dortmund Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for December 7 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 7/12/2024
📅 7/12/2024
17:30
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
3.25
X
3.75
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $425.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Borussia Mgladbach is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund:

Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of December

🏟️ Borussia Mgladbach X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 7 of December, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 28.79% | Fair line: 3.47
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.88% | Fair line: 5.59
🔴 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 53.33% | Fair line: 1.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Borussia Mgladbach and Borussia Dortmund.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233239 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $652.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$57.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $495.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Should you bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $556.50;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$86.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Borussia Mgladbach.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Borussia Mgladbach.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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