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Home » Predictions » Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
PREDICTION Borussia Mgladbach wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Heidenheim Heidenheim
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim, Saturday, 19/10/2024
📅 19/10/2024
13:30
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
1.80
X
3.80
Heidenheim Heidenheim
4.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim:

🔮 Borussia Mgladbach wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Mgladbach, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-16.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $606.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Heidenheim scored at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 19 of October

🏟️ Borussia Mgladbach X Heidenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 19 of October, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 57.00% | Fair line: 1.75
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.70% | Fair line: 4.83
🔴 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 22.31% | Fair line: 4.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim

Is betting on Borussia Mgladbach worth it?

🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $456.00;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$26.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Heidenheim?

🔴 Heidenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $682.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$98.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Borussia Mgladbach.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Heidenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x Heidenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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