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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg Betting tips for April 12 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
PREDICTION Borussia Mgladbach wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg Betting tips for April 12 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
13:30
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
2.20
X
3.51
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
3.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg:

🔮 Borussia Mgladbach wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Mgladbach, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, SC Freiburg has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 12 of April

🏟️ Borussia Mgladbach X SC Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 59.61% | Fair line: 1.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.82% | Fair line: 5.05
🔴 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 20.57% | Fair line: 4.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301346 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg

Should you bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$320.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $502.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Freiburg?

🔴 SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $424.20
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$365.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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