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Home ยป Predictions ยป Bundesliga 1 ยป Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for September 14 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 14 September 2024, 10h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
ODD: @3.84 Don't miss this prediction!

Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for September 14 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart, Saturday, 14/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 14/9/2024
10:30
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
2.76
X
3.84
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
2.27

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1920.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ VfB Stuttgart wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $1135.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-26.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-54.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against VfB Stuttgart, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 VfB Stuttgart matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against VfB Stuttgart.
๐Ÿ‘‰ VfB Stuttgart is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Borussia Mgladbach has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against VfB Stuttgart playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Borussia Mgladbach X VfB Stuttgart – Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 14 of September, 2024 – 10:30
๐Ÿ”ต Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 21.98% | Fair line: 4.55
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.94% | Fair line: 3.13
๐Ÿ”ด VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 46.09% | Fair line: 2.17
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Borussia Mgladbach
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1179779 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart

Is betting on Borussia Mgladbach worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Borussia Mgladbach: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $387.20;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$392.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $908.80;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$228.80.

Is it worth betting on VfB Stuttgart?

๐Ÿ”ด VfB Stuttgart: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $584.20;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$44.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Borussia Mgladbach
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Borussia Mgladbach and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Borussia Mgladbach.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x VfB Stuttgart

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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