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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen Betting tips for November 3 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 16h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
PREDICTION Borussia Mgladbach wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
ODD: @1.99 Don't miss this prediction!

Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen Betting tips for November 3 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
16:30
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
1.99
X
3.88
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
3.36

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen:

🔮 Borussia Mgladbach wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Mgladbach, you can win up to $995.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $678.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Werder Bremen.
👉 Werder Bremen is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 3 of November

🏟️ Borussia Mgladbach X Werder Bremen – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 51.24% | Fair line: 1.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.85% | Fair line: 4.58
🔴 Werder Bremen – Winning probability: 26.91% | Fair line: 3.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214487 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen

Should you bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $504.90;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$14.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $633.60;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$146.40.

Should you bet on Werder Bremen?

🔴 Werder Bremen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $637.20;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$92.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Borussia Mgladbach and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Borussia Mgladbach.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x Werder Bremen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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