Cologne x RB Leipzig Betting tips for February 8 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Cologne x RB Leipzig, Sunday, 8/2/2026

📅 8/2/2026 14:30

Cologne 3.10

X 3.74

RB Leipzig 2.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cologne x RB Leipzig:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Cologne x RB Leipzig

The main points for the tip for Cologne x RB Leipzig:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cologne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cologne scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Cologne vs RB Leipzig?

Lets analyze the match between Cologne and RB Leipzig that will take place at RheinEnergieStadion, home of Cologne, a stadium with a capacity of about 50,000 fans, ensuring a very favorable environment for the home team. 🏟️

📈 Looking at recent statistics, Cologne has a balanced average of goals scored and conceded at home (1 goal per game), with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches at their stadium. RB Leipzig shows a similar average of goals scored (1 per game), but concedes more goals away (higher average than the opponent) and has a mixed performance with only 1 win in their last 5 away games.

Additionally, Leipzig dominates possession (60% vs. 40%) and shoots more often on goal (14 shots vs. 13 for Cologne), but commits more fouls and yellow cards. This indicates an aggressive style but also defensively vulnerable.

📰 Recent news reports indicate Cologne strengthened their midfield with young promises loaned from Bayern and Manchester City, although they have important injuries for this game. RB Leipzig also made moves in the winter transfer market to strengthen their young attack and defense for future competitions.

Analyzing the median odds from bookmakers: Colognes win is around 3.1; draw about 3.74; RB Leipzig is favored at approximately 2.1.

Based on the normalized implied probabilities of these odds adjusted for the house margin, we have:

• Fair probability for Colognes win: ~27%
• Draw: ~22%
• RB Leipzig win: ~51%

However, considering recent statistical data — offensive/defensive balance of the teams combined with the strong home advantage for Cologne — my adjusted estimate suggests a slightly higher probability for a draw (~25%) and a lower chance of an away win (~45%), while the home win probability is around ~30%.

Thus, the recalculated fair odds would be approximately:

• Cologne: ~3.33
• Draw: ~4.0
• RB Leipzig: ~2.22

Looking at the expected value of the final odds offered by bookmakers compared to my fair estimates:

• Bet on Colognes win shows a positive EV above +5%, indicating a good opportunity as bookmakers seem to underestimate their true chance;
• Bet on the draw does not present relevant expected value;
• Bet on the away win has EV close to or slightly negative according to my calculation;

Final suggestion:
Despite bookmakers clearly favoring RB Leipzig, I see value in betting on Cologne @3.25 because they play at home in a large stadium with passionate fans, along with recent reinforcements despite some key absences.
The Bets Kenya model also suggests betting on the home team for a positive EV (+3%), but I believe this value could be even better considering the strong local factors analyzed here.
Therefore, I partially agree with the model but reinforce this as a good opportunity! ⚽🔥

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cologne x RB Leipzig?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cologne x RB Leipzig for the Germany Bundesliga I – 8 of February

The latest news about Cologne x RB Leipzig

1. FC Köln: The latest updates from Colognes football scene show that 1. FC Köln is strengthening its midfield with the loan signing of young Felipe Chávez, 18, from Bayern Munich, with an option to buy. However, injuries sidelined Linton Maina (rib contusion) and Castro-Montes for the upcoming match against RB Leipzig. Additionally, the club secured young defender Jahmai Simpson-Pusey on a one-season loan from Manchester City after terminating his contract with Celtic, also with an option to buy. In womens football, 1. FC Köln renewed coach Britta Carlsons contract until 2028, signed American forward Zoe Hasenauer from Odense BK, brought Swiss goalkeeper Irina Fuchs from Basel with a contract until 2027, and completed the signing of Icelandic forward Sandra Maria Jessen from Thor/KA, who has attracted interest from several clubs in the English Womens Super League. In the citys third tier scene, FC Viktoria Köln confirmed the contract renewal of defender Verthomy Boboy, keeping the 22-year-old in the squad until the end of the season.

RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig has been active in the winter transfer market, securing the signing of forward Suleman Sani and PSV prospect Ayodele Thomas, while loaning out young Eduardo to Hoffenheim after three loans. They also terminated the loan of Robert Ramsak, who was sent to SV Sandhausen for more playing time, and integrated Bosnian-born defender Brajan Gruda, who arrived on a short-term contract and aims to impress the German U-21 team before the 2026 North American World Cup. In the womens Bundesliga, Leipzigs team managed a 2-2 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt, with Laura Freigang opening the scoring and Krug scoring a late equalizer to secure the point. The mens main team continues competing for European competition spots in the Bundesliga, seeking to improve based on recent performances.

Table analysis for the match between Cologne x RB Leipzig

Cologne: With the team in 10th place and accumulating 23 points, Cologne is relatively far from the spots for international competitions and is also comfortably above the relegation zone, making this match less decisive for their ambitions. However, maintaining stability in the table is important to avoid surprises in the final rounds, so the team will still be interested in earning points to secure this position.

RB Leipzig: Positioned in 5th place with 36 points, RB Leipzig fights for a spot in the UEFA Europa League, also close to the Champions League qualification zone (3 points behind the 4th place). This match is important for Leipzig, as a victory could bring them closer to direct access to the Champions League, increasing their chances of finishing the season among the top four.

Summary: The game has moderate importance for Cologne, which seeks to maintain its safe position, and high importance for RB Leipzig, which wants to climb the table to secure spots in European competitions. Therefore, the match is more decisive for the visitor than for the home team. ⚽🔥

How the handicap and odds moved for Cologne x RB Leipzig

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Cologne x RB Leipzig.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cologne x RB Leipzig

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cologne and RB Leipzig.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475397 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Cologne worth it?

🔵 Cologne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $548.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is betting on RB Leipzig worth it?

🔴 RB Leipzig: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Cologne x RB Leipzig

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cologne
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cologne x RB Leipzig

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cologne, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Cologne.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Cologne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cologne x RB Leipzig

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Cologne x RB Leipzig