Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for January 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund, Friday, 9/1/2026

📅 9/1/2026 19:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 3.24

X 3.70

Borussia Dortmund 2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-83.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Borussia Dortmund has not lost any of them.
👉 Eintracht Frankfurt has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Borussia Dortmund playing at home.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund:

Lets analyze the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund at Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurts traditional stadium, which will surely create a favorable environment for the home team. ⚽️

📊 Recent statistics show that Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1 goal scored and conceded at home, with an even shot count (12 to 12) and a slight advantage in ball possession (52%). Borussia Dortmund also averages 1 goal scored and conceded away, but concedes more shots (14 to 10) and has less possession (48%). This indicates a very balanced game, but with a slight defensive advantage for the home team.

📈 In the league table, both teams are very close in the race for important positions. Eintracht aims to establish itself at the top, while Dortmund wants to maintain consistency to secure a spot in European competitions. This mutual need for points should lead to a competitive match until the end.

📰 Recent news indicates Eintracht is strengthening its squad with young prospects and keeping its top scorer under a long-term contract, showing a focus on stability. On the other hand, Dortmund faces significant contractual uncertainties in defense with Niklas Süle and adjustments in the young squad via loans. This could impact the visiting defensive cohesion.

Analyzing the median odds: Frankfurt win at 3.2 (implied probability ~31%), draw at 3.7 (~27%), Dortmund win at 2.05 (~49%). After normalizing the implied probabilities, we get approximately: Frankfurt: 29%, Draw: 25%, Dortmund: 46%.

Considering the balanced offensive/defensive stats but taking into account the news about greater stability for Frankfurt versus doubts in Dortmunds defense, I would slightly adjust the probabilities to favor a draw or even a small extra chance for the home team due to the stadium factor:

• Frankfurt Win: ~32%
• Draw: ~30%
• Dortmund: ~38%

Calculating the fair odds based on this analysis would give approximate values of:
Frankfurt Win: ~3.13
Draw: ~3.33
Dortmund Win: ~2.63

Compared to the final odds, the expected positive value is only for the draw according to our internal model (+16%), while bets on the teams victories show a negative EV.

Bets Kenya Club:

• Betting on the draw seems to be the best option here due to the positive expected value (>5%) calculated by the model.
• Betting on Borussias victory does not offer enough value despite the lower odds.
• Eintrachts victory is less likely based on current statistics but cannot be completely ruled out due to home advantage.

Overall, I agree with the Bets Kenya Club models suggestion focusing on the draw as the value bet in this match! 🎯

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Analysis from Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of January

The latest news about Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt has been active in the winter transfer market, securing a long-term contract for the second division top scorer, Younes Ebnoutalib, until June 30, 2031, as well as signing the 21-year-old U-23 standout, Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab, on a similar contract that also ends in 2031. Swedish left-back Keita Kosugi arrived from Djurgårdens IF, while winger Wahi was loaned to OGC Nice. In womens football, former German defender Sara Doorsoun returned from Angel City FC, ex-international Babett Peter was appointed sports director after her stint in Chicago, and former U-20 coach Julia Simic left the club to become co-coach of the Swiss womens national team.

Borussia Dortmund: The latest news from Borussia Dortmund focuses on the uncertain future of defender Niklas Süle, whose decisive performance last semester rekindled speculation about a contract extension if the club cannot find a comparable and affordable replacement. The season-ending loan of young Aaron Anselmino is about to end, and veteran Emre Cans expiring contract is expected to be renewed despite previous doubts. Additionally, promising winger Cole Campbell was loaned to TSG Hoffenheim with an option to buy valued at around 7 million euros, while the reserve team continues to see talents transfer, notably Antonio Foti, who secured a transfer to Fortuna Düsseldorf, all amid ongoing fan engagement events and training updates.

Table analysis for the game between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt is in 7th place with 25 points, in the mid-table zone, a bit away from direct European qualification spots but still close to the positions that lead to the Conference League. This match against Borussia Dortmund is important to try to catch up with the G-6 teams and improve their chances of qualifying for international competitions. A victory could be a significant boost in this fight, besides helping to solidify the team at a comfortable level in the standings.

Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund is in 2nd place with 32 points, well positioned in the title race and securing a direct spot in the Champions League. Although slightly behind leader Bayern Munich, every point is essential to maintain this advantage over direct competitors and not lose strength in the pursuit of the top. The game against Eintracht Frankfurt is crucial to hold the vice-leadership and keep the pressure for another achievement.

Summary: The match is important for both teams, as Borussia Dortmund seeks to consolidate its prominent position and secure a spot in the Champions League, while Eintracht Frankfurt aims to get closer to the places that grant access to international competitions. A confrontation that can directly impact both teams ambitions and standings! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460547 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Eintracht Frankfurt?

🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $582.40
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$157.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $783.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$73.00.

Is it worth betting on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $483.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$57.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Eintracht Frankfurt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.