Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for February 14 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 14/2/2026 14:30 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt1.97 |
X 3.66 |
Borussia Mgladbach  3.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach:
🔮 Eintracht Frankfurt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eintracht Frankfurt, you can win up to $985.00!
The main points for the tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Mgladbach, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Eintracht Frankfurt conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Eintracht Frankfurt has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Borussia Mgladbach playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Eintracht Frankfurt as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mgladbach?
Lets analyze the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mgladbach at Deutsche Bank Park, which is Frankfurts usual stadium, giving them the home advantage. ⚽
📊 Recent statistics show that Eintracht Frankfurt has conceded more goals than scored at home (6 goals scored and 11 conceded in the last 5 home games), along with a weak recent performance with only 1 win in the last 5 Bundesliga matches. Borussia Mgladbach is also struggling away from home, with just 1 win in the last 5 away games and a low average of goals scored (3) against goals conceded (8). Both teams have evident defensive issues.
📈 In the league table, both teams are in a tough phase: Eintracht has gone seven games without a win, and Borussia five. This increases the pressure to secure a victory in this direct confrontation to boost team morale.
📰 Recent news indicates changes in the coaching staff of Eintracht Frankfurt with Albert Riera recently taking over; this could bring initial instability but also extra motivation to perform well in their home debut. On the other hand, they face serious defensive problems with key injuries like Arthur Theate. Borussia Mgladbach suffers from the prolonged absence of their forward Robin Hack, reducing their offensive power.
Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are:
- Implied probability of Frankfurt victory: ~50%
- Draw: ~27%
- Borussia victory: ~23%
Analyzing the offensive and defensive stats of both teams along with the usual stadium advantage confirms a slight edge to Eintracht. I estimate fair probabilities close to these adjusted implied odds:
- Frankfurt Win: about 48% — considering their slight offensive superiority despite defensive fragility;
- Draw: about 28% — game tends to be balanced;
- Borussia Win: about 24% — visiting team limited by important injuries.
Thus, the fair odds would be approximately:
- Home (Frankfurt): ~2.08
- Draw: ~3.57
- Away (Borussia): ~4.17
Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers (1.9 / 3.75 / 3.6), we see positive value mainly in the bet on the home team’s victory according to my calculation — because bookmakers pay less than my estimated fair odds (~2.08 vs final offer ~1.9). The draw has a final odd close to fair, and the visitor seems undervalued as the final offer is lower than my fair estimate (~4.17 vs final offer ~3.6).
Expected value calculations confirm this view:
– Home Win EV ≈ +10%
– Draw EV ≈ -7%
– Away Win EV ≈ -14%
This analysis aligns well with the Bets Kenya model, which suggests a strong positive value for betting on the home win (+10%). I fully agree! 🏆 I believe betting on Eintracht Frankfurt’s victory is a good move here due to the combination of the traditional home advantage at Deutsche Bank Park, the urgent need for points from both teams, and the local team’s greater offensive capacity despite defensive weaknesses.
Final tip 💡: Bet on Eintracht Frankfurt to win, as recent stats show their higher offensive potential compared to the weakened opponent due to key injuries, plus they have full support from the home crowd in their usual stadium — that makes all the difference!
The new coach Albert Riera recently debuted for Eintracht showing enthusiasm but still dealing with serious defensive issues due to the severe injury of defender Arthur Theate.
Borussia suffers without their main forward Robin Hack, who has been injured for months.
These factors reinforce my favorable assessment of the home team.
Both are on a poor streak without wins in recent rounds, increasing psychological pressure.
However, playing at home gives a slight mental advantage to Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly breaking this drought.
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Analysis from Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of February
🏟️ Eintracht Frankfurt X Borussia Mgladbach – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 14 of February, 2026 – 14:30
🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt – Winning probability: 59.02% | Fair line: 1.69
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.88% | Fair line: 4.79
🔴 Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 20.10% | Fair line: 4.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
The latest news about Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt started 2026 under the new coach Albert Riera, who took over after Dino Toppmöller in early February and signed a contract until 2028; his debut was on February 6, 2026 against Union Berlin, ending in a 1-1 draw after Frankfurt equalized with goals from Kaua Santos and Rasmus Kristensen, despite showing signs of defensive fragility. The club is dealing with a serious meniscus injury to defender Arthur Theate, which worsened during training and is expected to sideline him for several weeks, while Jonathan Burkardt also missed training despite plans to return. In the transfer market, young Hungarian midfielder Noah Fenyö was loaned for half a season to Újpest Budapest with an option to buy, Jessic Ngankam made his third loan to Wolfsberger AC in Austria, and Aurelio Buta transferred to FC Copenhagen; meanwhile, defensive options in the squad are reduced, sparking rumors of possible reinforcements.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach is currently under the management of coach Eugen Polanski, who spoke to the press after the Bundesliga match on February 7, 2026, against Bayer 04 Leverkusen at Borussia-Park; the club also faces the prolonged absence of forward Robin Hack, who has been out for several months due to a knee injury and hopes to return to training this spring. The team celebrated the six-figure transfer of 18-year-old talent Can Armando Güner to Galatasaray and is in the final stages of signing German midfielder Xaver Schlager, who left RB Leipzig on a free transfer after four seasons.
Table analysis for the match between Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt is in 8th place in the Bundesliga with 28 points, in an intermediate zone of the table. Without a direct threat of relegation, but also far from European competition spots, this match is important for the team to consolidate its position and seek improvement that, although difficult, can still lead to a Conference League spot. Therefore, the game against Borussia Mgladbach is relevant to maintain a good streak and climb the table.
Borussia Mgladbach: Borussia Mgladbach is in 12th place with 22 points, close to the relegation zone, and still needs to worry about fighting to avoid dropping. Every point is crucial to try to get out of this dangerous situation, so this game against Eintracht Frankfurt is of great importance to seek recovery and distance from the lower part of the table.
Summary: The game is important for both teams, with Eintracht Frankfurt seeking stability and progress in the standings, and Borussia Mgladbach fighting to escape danger. A match with high motivation on both sides! ⚽🔥
Odds and handicap movements for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Eintracht Frankfurt had a great Decreased of -11.63%: the market opened with odds of @2.15 for Eintracht Frankfurt and now the odds are @1.9.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.6 for Draw and now the odds are @3.6.
📊 The odds for Borussia Mgladbach had a huge Raised of 36.67%: the market opened with odds of @3.0 for Borussia Mgladbach and now the odds are @4.1.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.25 is now at -0.50 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1479336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it worth betting on Eintracht Frankfurt?
🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 590 times – profiting $572.30;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$162.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $558.60;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$231.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Mgladbach?
🔴 Borussia Mgladbach: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach
Who is the favourite: Eintracht Frankfurt or Borussia Mgladbach?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Eintracht Frankfurt, with an estimated chance of 59.02%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Eintracht Frankfurt or Borussia Mgladbach?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Eintracht Frankfurt is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 59.02%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Eintracht Frankfurt beating Borussia Mgladbach today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Eintracht Frankfurt to win approximately 59 of them against Borussia Mgladbach.
What are the chances of Borussia Mgladbach beating Eintracht Frankfurt today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Borussia Mgladbach would win about 20 of those versus Eintracht Frankfurt.
Which team should I bet on: Eintracht Frankfurt or Borussia Mgladbach?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Eintracht Frankfurt wins as the best pick, with EV of 12.43%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Eintracht Frankfurt paying today? See what you can win by betting on Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach:
The odds for Eintracht Frankfurt to beat Borussia Mgladbach today are around 1.97. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1970.00 if Eintracht Frankfurt wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Borussia Mgladbach paying today? See what you can win by betting on Eintracht Frankfurt x Borussia Mgladbach:
The odds for Borussia Mgladbach to beat Eintracht Frankfurt today are around 3.40. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3400.00 if Borussia Mgladbach wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
