Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg Betting tips for March 1 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 1/3/2026 16:30 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt2.15 |
X 3.40 |
SC Freiburg  3.10 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!
🔮 SC Freiburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Freiburg, you can win up to $1550.00!
Some important points for the tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, SC Freiburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg:
Lets analyze the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga, which will take place at Deutsche Bank Park, a traditional stadium and home of Eintracht Frankfurt, where the team usually enjoys good support from fans. ⚽️
📊 Recent statistics show that Eintracht Frankfurt has conceded more goals than they have scored at home (average of 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game), with only 1 win in the last 5 home matches. Meanwhile, SC Freiburg has a more solid defense away from home (average of 0.4 goals conceded per game in recent league matches) and has a better record in their recent away games.
📈 In the league table, both teams are seeking points to improve their positions — Eintracht is trying to recover after recent poor results in Bundesliga and Europa League; Freiburg aims to maintain stability despite key absences like Philipp Lienhart.
📰 News indicates that Eintracht is going through a turbulent period after a heavy defeat in the Europa League and recent points lost in the national league. The team is active in the transfer market to strengthen and stabilize their performance. On the other hand, SC Freiburg has renewed its contract with starting goalkeeper Florian Müller, showing confidence in their defense despite the absence of defender Lienhart.
Analyzing the median odds from betting sites (2.15 for home win; 3.4 for draw; 3.1 for away win), the normalized implied probabilities are approximately: home win ~44%, draw ~28%, away win ~29%. Considering Freiburgs superior defensive stats away from home and Eintrachts recent instability at home, I would slightly adjust these probabilities to: Frankfurt win ~40%, draw ~30%, Freiburg win ~30%.
Calculating fair odds based on this analysis: about 2.50 for Frankfurt win, 3.33 for draw, and about 3.33 for Freiburg win — values close to the final odds offered by betting sites (2.20 / 3.5 / 3.2).
Evaluating the expected value (EV) of bets compared to my fair estimates:
- Bet on home win has a negative EV (-31%), indicating little value;
- Bet on draw has a moderate positive EV (+9%), suggesting some opportunity;
- Bet on away win has a high EV (+20%), highlighting it as a potentially profitable bet.
Final suggestion: I agree with the recommendation to bet on SC Freiburgs victory based on the Bets Kenya model due to the significant positive expected value — they have shown better defensive consistency away from home while Eintracht faces recent internal difficulties.
A draw can also be considered a safe option given the balanced competitiveness between the teams.
Good luck! 🍀
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Analysis from Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 1 of March
🏟️ Eintracht Frankfurt X SC Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 1 of March, 2026 – 16:30
🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt – Winning probability: 31.25% | Fair line: 3.2
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.16% | Fair line: 3.21
🔴 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 37.59% | Fair line: 2.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Latest news on the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt: The womens team of Eintracht Frankfurt continues their strong start in the Frauen-Bundesliga 2025/26, recently defeating SC Freiburg 3-0 on February 26, with a standout performance by Laura Freigang, while a hat-trick by Reuteler secured a decisive victory against FC Carl Zeiss Jena; the mens main team, after a surprising 5-1 defeat to Galatasaray in the Europa League, has faced difficulties in the Bundesliga, losing points in the last two league matches and seeking stability under coach Dino Toppmöller as the winter break approaches, and is also active in the transfer market exploring various options for the January window.
SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg recently secured a contract renewal with goalkeeper Florian Müller, keeping the 28-year-old player in goal indefinitely, while defender Philipp Lienhart will miss the next match in Leipzig after a medical diagnosis, and the team recovered from two consecutive 1-0 defeats with a victory, despite the ongoing suspension of coach Julian Schuster.
Table analysis for the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt is in 8th place with 31 points, just 2 points behind SC Freiburg which is in 7th place. The team is outside the qualification zone for international competitions but can still aim for a spot among the teams competing in the UEFA Europa League or even the Conference League, considering the close table. Therefore, winning this match could be important to improve their position and keep the chance of advancing alive. An important game to get closer to international spots.
SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg is in 7th place with 33 points, slightly more comfortable than Eintracht Frankfurt but with teams right behind in pursuit. The team still has the possibility to get closer to the Conference League spots or even improve further if they achieve a good number of wins by the end of the season. Therefore, the game is important to maintain or increase the lead over the direct rival and continue fighting for a European spot.
Summary: This is an important game for both teams, as they face each other in a direct fight for positions in the middle of the table with potential to reach European spots. A match that could define each teams strength in the final stretch of the Bundesliga! ⚽🔥
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg
We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 2.33%, the odds for Eintracht Frankfurt are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.15 for Eintracht Frankfurt and now the odds are @2.2.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.5 for Draw and now the odds are @3.5.
📊 With a variation of 3.23%, the odds for SC Freiburg are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.1 for SC Freiburg and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for Eintracht Frankfurt is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg
When the best bet on Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1488452 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it worth betting on Eintracht Frankfurt?
🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $356.50
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$333.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $744.00
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$54.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on SC Freiburg?
🔴 SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $798.00
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$178.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Eintracht Frankfurt and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 SC Freiburg.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg
Which team is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is SC Freiburg, with an estimated chance of 37.59%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg?
Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe SC Freiburg has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 37.59%. If you bet on SC Freiburg, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Eintracht Frankfurt beating SC Freiburg today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Eintracht Frankfurt would win about 31 of those against SC Freiburg.
What are the chances of SC Freiburg beating Eintracht Frankfurt today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect SC Freiburg to win approximately 38 of them against Eintracht Frankfurt.
Which team should I bet on: Eintracht Frankfurt or SC Freiburg?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: SC Freiburg Wins, with an expected value of 20.30%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is Eintracht Frankfurt paying today? See what you can win by betting on Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg:
The odds for Eintracht Frankfurt to beat SC Freiburg today are around 2.15. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2150.00 if Eintracht Frankfurt wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is SC Freiburg paying today? See what you can win by betting on Eintracht Frankfurt x SC Freiburg:
The odds for SC Freiburg to beat Eintracht Frankfurt today are around 3.10. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3100.00 if SC Freiburg wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
