Heidenheim x Cologne Betting tips for May 18 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x Cologne, Saturday, 18/5/2024

📅 18/5/2024 13:30

Heidenheim 2.56

X 3.70

Cologne 2.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Heidenheim x Cologne:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Heidenheim x Cologne: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cologne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Heidenheim scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Cologne matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Heidenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cologne conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Heidenheim x Cologne?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Heidenheim x Cologne for the Germany Bundesliga I – 18 of May

When the best bet on Heidenheim x Cologne is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1120517 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Cologne

Is betting on Heidenheim worth it?

🔵 Heidenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $864.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cologne?

🔴 Cologne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $493.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$167.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x Cologne

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Cologne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Heidenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Heidenheim.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x Cologne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.